Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.238079e-03 0.001392 0.001546 0.001711 0.001882 0.002055 0.002241
2025-11-09 9.985646e-04 0.001221 0.001451 0.001702 0.001970 0.002243 0.002543
2025-11-16 8.142745e-04 0.001087 0.001377 0.001702 0.002054 0.002419 0.002824
2025-11-23 6.638127e-04 0.000975 0.001315 0.001705 0.002132 0.002583 0.003088
2025-11-30 5.768673e-04 0.000924 0.001313 0.001767 0.002272 0.002807 0.003412
2025-12-07 4.634170e-04 0.000831 0.001256 0.001762 0.002331 0.002942 0.003637
2025-12-14 3.507000e-04 0.000726 0.001177 0.001726 0.002352 0.003030 0.003807
2025-12-21 2.893744e-04 0.000679 0.001162 0.001759 0.002447 0.003196 0.004059
2025-12-28 2.081145e-04 0.000594 0.001095 0.001727 0.002465 0.003275 0.004213
2026-01-04 1.551011e-04 0.000541 0.001063 0.001732 0.002522 0.003395 0.004410
2026-01-11 1.034028e-04 0.000479 0.001015 0.001716 0.002553 0.003482 0.004568
2026-01-18 6.421029e-05 0.000427 0.000976 0.001708 0.002590 0.003576 0.004732
2026-01-25 2.088435e-05 0.000355 0.000917 0.001691 0.002637 0.003703 0.004961
2026-02-01 2.060818e-07 0.000292 0.000867 0.001684 0.002695 0.003845 0.005207
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000239 0.000825 0.001684 0.002762 0.003997 0.005466
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000193 0.000787 0.001687 0.002831 0.004150 0.005726
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000175 0.000794 0.001749 0.002971 0.004385 0.006078
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000134 0.000753 0.001744 0.003027 0.004521 0.006317
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000089 0.000693 0.001708 0.003044 0.004609 0.006499
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000071 0.000683 0.001741 0.003143 0.004793 0.006790
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000039 0.000630 0.001709 0.003161 0.004879 0.006967
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000023 0.000605 0.001715 0.003223 0.005018 0.007203
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000007 0.000566 0.001699 0.003257 0.005120 0.007397